:Product: 1111RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Nov 11 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 315 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Nov 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: Solar activity was very low for the past 24 hours. Region 1030 (N24W79) is now an Axx-alpha group with 1 spot. No flares have been observed. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low for the next two days (12-13 November). On day three, 14 November, old Region 1029 is expected to rotate back onto the visible disk with a slight chance of increased activity. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10/2100Z to 11/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been quiet for the past 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to remain quiet for the next three days (12-14 November). III. Event Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 11 Nov 072 Predicted 12 Nov-14 Nov 072/072/073 90 Day Mean 11 Nov 071 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 10 Nov 000/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 11 Nov 001/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Nov-14 Nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01