:Product: 1112RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Nov 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 316 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Nov 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low for the past 24 hours.
Region 1030 (N23W92) was classified as an Axx-alpha group with one
spot. No flares were observed.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low on day one (13 November) and very low to low for day two and day
three (14-15 November). On day two, old Region 1029 is expected to
rotate back on the visible disk.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic filed has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (13-15
November).
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Nov-15 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Nov 073
Predicted   13 Nov-15 Nov  073/074/075
90 Day Mean        12 Nov 071
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Nov  000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Nov  001/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Nov-15 Nov  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Nov-15 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01