:Product: 1115RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Nov 15 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 319 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Nov 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. New Region 1031 (N30E20) emerged on the disk on 14 November and was numbered today as an Axx-alpha group with one spot. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (16-18 November). III. Event Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 15 Nov 075 Predicted 16 Nov-18 Nov 075/077/078 90 Day Mean 15 Nov 072 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 14 Nov 003/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Nov 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Nov-18 Nov 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Nov-18 Nov A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01