:Product: 1125RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Nov 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 329 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Nov 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z:  Solar Activity was very low.  No flares occurred during
the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar Activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with two isolated unsettled
periods, 25/0000-0600Z.  A secondary solar wind data source,
SOHO/MTOF,  indicated the earth is currently in a high speed stream,
preceded by a co-rotating interaction region detected by the ACE
spacecraft early yesterday.  Wind speeds, as measured by SOHO/MTOF,
averaged 430-470 km/sec during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (26 Nov) based on
recurrence.  Quiet conditions are expected to return on days two and
three (27-28 Nov).
III.  Event Probabilities 26 Nov-28 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           25 Nov 074
Predicted   26 Nov-28 Nov  074/073/071
90 Day Mean        25 Nov 073
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Nov  003/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Nov  007/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Nov-28 Nov  007/005-007/005-007/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Nov-28 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/10/05
Minor storm           10/05/01
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                25/15/05
Minor storm           15/05/01
Major-severe storm    05/01/01