:Product: 1202RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Dec 02 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 336 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Dec 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: Solar Activity was very low. No flares occurred during the past 24 hours. The disk is spotless. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for days one and two (03-04 Dec). Conditions are expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels with a slight chance for isolated active periods as a recurrent coronal hole becomes geoeffective early on day three (05 Dec). III. Event Probabilities 03 Dec-05 Dec Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 02 Dec 071 Predicted 03 Dec-05 Dec 071/071/071 90 Day Mean 02 Dec 073 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 01 Dec 000/000 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Dec 001/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Dec-05 Dec 005/005-005/005-007/008 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Dec-05 Dec A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/20 Minor storm 01/01/10 Major-severe storm 01/01/05 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/30 Minor storm 01/01/15 Major-severe storm 01/01/05