:Product: 1204RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Dec 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 338 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Dec 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.  The visible solar disk is spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a slight chance for isolated
active conditions, for days one and two (05-06 December) due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Conditions are expected
to return to quiet levels for day three (07 December).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Dec 072
Predicted   05 Dec-07 Dec  073/073/073
90 Day Mean        04 Dec 072
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Dec  000/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Dec  000/001
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Dec-07 Dec  007/008-007/008-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/10/05
Minor storm           10/05/01
Major-severe storm    05/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/20/05
Minor storm           15/10/01
Major-severe storm    05/05/01