:Product: 1212RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Dec 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 346 Issued at 2200Z on 12 Dec 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  11/2100Z
to 12/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the forecast period. Region 1034 (N20E32) remains a small Bxo
Beta group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for an isolated C-class event from
Region 1034 during the next three days (13-15 December).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 11/2100Z to 12/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (13-15 December).
III.  Event Probabilities 13 Dec-15 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           12 Dec 075
Predicted   13 Dec-15 Dec  075/075/075
90 Day Mean        12 Dec 073
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 11 Dec  000/000
Estimated Afr/Ap 12 Dec  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 13 Dec-15 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 Dec-15 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01