:Product: 1213RSGA.txt :Issued: 2009 Dec 13 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 347 Issued at 2200Z on 13 Dec 2009 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1034 (N19E16) remains a small Bxo bi-polar group. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at predominately very low levels. There is a chance for an isolated C-class event from Region 1034 during the next three days (14 - 16 December). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 12/2100Z to 13/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (14 - 16 December). III. Event Probabilities 14 Dec-16 Dec Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 13 Dec 076 Predicted 14 Dec-16 Dec 077/077/077 90 Day Mean 13 Dec 073 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 12 Dec 002/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 13 Dec 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 14 Dec-16 Dec 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 14 Dec-16 Dec A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01