:Product: 1214RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2009 Dec 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 348 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Dec 2009
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  Todays activity
consisted of a few low-level B class events.  New Region 1035
(N31E07) emerged on the disk today and is a simple bi-polar group.  
Region 1034 (N20E03) was quiet and appears to be decaying slowly.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low.  There is a slight chance for an isolated C class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (15 - 17 December).
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Dec-17 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Dec 079
Predicted   15 Dec-17 Dec  080/082/084
90 Day Mean        14 Dec 073
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Dec  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Dec  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Dec-17 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Dec-17 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01