:Product: 0105RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Jan 05 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 005 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jan 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Early observations indicated that Region 1039 (S29W90) remained a D-type sunspot group with a beta magnetic classification. However, later observations report the region as spotless as it rotates toward the west limb. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04/2100Z to 05/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (06-08 January). III. Event Probabilities 06 Jan-08 Jan Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 05 Jan 077 Predicted 06 Jan-08 Jan 072/074/076 90 Day Mean 05 Jan 075 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jan 001/002 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jan 001/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jan-08 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jan-08 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01