:Product: 0220RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Feb 20 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 051 Issued at 2200Z on 20 Feb 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Isolated B-class flares were observed during the period. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels. There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 19/2100Z to 20/2100Z: Geomagnetic field activity was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be at quiet levels throughout the forecast period (21-23 February). III. Event Probabilities 21 Feb-23 Feb Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 20 Feb 084 Predicted 21 Feb-23 Feb 084/084/082 90 Day Mean 20 Feb 080 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 19 Feb 003/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 20 Feb 002/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 21 Feb-23 Feb 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 21 Feb-23 Feb A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01