:Product: 0227RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Feb 27 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 058 Issued at 2200Z on 27 Feb 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  26/2100Z
to 27/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected
during the forecast period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low due to the return of old Region 1045 (N19, L251).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 26/2100Z to 27/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to increase to quiet to unsettled levels on days one and
two (28 February - 01 March) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high-speed stream. Activity is expected to be at mostly quiet levels
on day three (02 March) as the effects of the coronal hole wane.
III.  Event Probabilities 28 Feb-02 Mar
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           27 Feb 079
Predicted   28 Feb-02 Mar  084/084/084
90 Day Mean        27 Feb 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 26 Feb  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 27 Feb  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 28 Feb-02 Mar  007/007-007/010-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 28 Feb-02 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/20
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01