:Product: 0228RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Feb 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 059 Issued at 2200Z on 28 Feb 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  27/2100Z
to 28/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No significant flares were
detected during the forecast period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low due to the return of old Region 1045 (N24, L242).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 27/2100Z to 28/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be mostly quiet on days one and two (01 - 02 March) due
to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected
to be at quiet levels on day three as the coronal hole effects
subside.
III.  Event Probabilities 01 Mar-03 Mar
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           28 Feb 078
Predicted   01 Mar-03 Mar  084/084/084
90 Day Mean        28 Feb 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 27 Feb  000/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 28 Feb  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar  007/010-007/007-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Mar-03 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/20/05
Minor storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01