:Product: 0304RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Mar 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 063 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Mar 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Todays activity consisted of a
C2 x-ray event at 1611Z from Region 1052 (S17W70), as well as
numerous B-class events. Regions 1052 and 1053 (S22W77) showed slow
growth during the past 24 hours and exhibited slightly elevated
levels of activity. An overall increasing trend was noted in the
x-ray background levels.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for isolated C-class events during the
next three days (05-07 March).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft showed a small
increase in speed with values ranging between 440-460 km/s at the
end of the reporting period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (05-07
March).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Mar 081
Predicted   05 Mar-07 Mar  082/082/082
90 Day Mean        04 Mar 081
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Mar  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Mar  006/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Mar-07 Mar  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Mar-07 Mar
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01