:Product: 0414RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Apr 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 104 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Apr 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  There were no flares
observed during the last 24 hours.  Region 1062 (S18W34) has decayed
to spotless plage.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (15-17 April).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the last 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next three days (15-17 April). 
Revised estimates for yesterdays partial-halo CME speed indicate a
probable arrival of the flank of the CME at Earth sometime on 18
April.
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Apr-17 Apr
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Apr 075
Predicted   15 Apr-17 Apr  075/075/077
90 Day Mean        14 Apr 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Apr  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Apr  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Apr-17 Apr  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Apr-17 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01