:Product: 0422RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Apr 22 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 112 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Apr 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the last 24 hours. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low during the forecast period (23-25 April). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet during the last 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field will be predominately quiet with isolated unsettled conditions on day one (23 April). Quiet levels are expected for days two and three (24-25 April) as the effects of the coronal hole high speed stream diminish. III. Event Probabilities 23 Apr-25 Apr Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 22 Apr 076 Predicted 23 Apr-25 Apr 078/078/080 90 Day Mean 22 Apr 082 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 21 Apr 004/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Apr 004/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Apr-25 Apr 007/008-005/006-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Apr-25 Apr A. Middle Latitudes Active 20/05/05 Minor storm 05/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/00/00 B. High Latitudes Active 25/10/05 Minor storm 05/05/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/00