:Product: 0515RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 May 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 135 Issued at 2200Z on 15 May 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  14/2100Z
to 15/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred. The
visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low during the period (16 - 18 May).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels throughout the period.
The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels during day 1 (16 May) with a
chance for unsettled levels due to possible coronal hole effects.
Field activity is expected to be at quiet levels during days 2 - 3
(17 - 18 May).
III.  Event Probabilities 16 May-18 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           15 May 070
Predicted   16 May-18 May  070/072/072
90 Day Mean        15 May 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 May  001/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 15 May  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 16 May-18 May  007/007-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 May-18 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/10/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/05
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01