:Product: 0516RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 May 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 136 Issued at 2200Z on 16 May 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  15/2100Z
to 16/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
The visible disk was spotless.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low through the period (17 - 19 May).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 15/2100Z to 16/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet levels through the period (17 - 19 May).
III.  Event Probabilities 17 May-19 May
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           16 May 069
Predicted   17 May-19 May  070/072/072
90 Day Mean        16 May 080
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 15 May  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 16 May  002/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 17 May-19 May  005/005-005/006-005/006
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 17 May-19 May
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01