:Product: 0614RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jun 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 165 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jun 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  13/2100Z
to 14/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1081 (N25W86) produced a
C1.5 X-ray event at 14/1047Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for days 1-3 (15-17 June). Region 1081 has decayed to a Bxo Beta
region.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 13/2100Z to 14/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods for days 1-3 (15-17 June).  A large southern pole extension
coronal hole is expected to become geoeffecive late day 1.
III.  Event Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           14 Jun 073
Predicted   15 Jun-17 Jun  072/072/070
90 Day Mean        14 Jun 076
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jun  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jun  005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jun-17 Jun  008/008-010/012-008/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jun-17 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                50/50/50
Minor storm           20/20/20
Major-severe storm    05/05/05
B.  High Latitudes
Active                60/60/60
Minor storm           30/30/30
Major-severe storm    05/05/05