:Product: 0624RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Jun 24 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jun 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: Solar activity was very low. Region 1082 (N27W65) was quiet and stable. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event through days one and two (25 - 26 June) as Region 1082 rotates around the limb. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet through late on day one (25 June). Field activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active levels, with a slight chance of isolated minor storm periods, the remainder of day one through day three (26 - 27 June). The increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. III. Event Probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 24 Jun 074 Predicted 25 Jun-27 Jun 075/076/077 90 Day Mean 24 Jun 075 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jun 002/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jun 002/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun 008/008-015/015-012/012 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jun-27 Jun A. Middle Latitudes Active 10/25/20 Minor storm 01/15/10 Major-severe storm 01/05/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/30/25 Minor storm 01/20/15 Major-severe storm 01/05/05