:Product: 0701RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jul 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 182 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  30/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low throughout the forecast period (02-04 July).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled with an isolated active
period from 03-06Z.  The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit was at high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods at high latitudes on days 1 and 2 (02-03 July) due to a
recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Mostly quiet conditions
are expected on day 3 (04 July) as the effects from the coronal hole
high speed stream subside.
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Jul 073
Predicted   02 Jul-04 Jul  072/072/074
90 Day Mean        01 Jul 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun  015/019
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jul  012/012
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul  010/012-008/010-006/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                20/20/10
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                35/30/20
Minor storm           15/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01