:Product: 0703RSGA.txt :Issued: 2010 Jul 03 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 184 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Jul 2010 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. A disappearing filament was observed on EIT near the southwest limb (S35W65) at 02/2300Z. The SOHO C2 imagery observed a possible CME associated with this event at 03/0130Z. In addition, an eruption along a filament channel in the northeast (N35E55) was observed, along with an EIT wave in the southwest (S40W55). These events occurred at approximately the same time (03/0830Z) and were also associated with possible CME events visible on SOHO C2 imagery around 03/0950Z. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain very low throughout the forecast period (04-06 July). IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled as the effects from the coronal hole high speed stream subsided. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet throughout the forecast period (04-06 July). III. Event Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF Green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 03 Jul 072 Predicted 04 Jul-06 Jul 074/074/074 90 Day Mean 03 Jul 075 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 02 Jul 008/009 Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Jul 006/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Jul-06 Jul 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Jul-06 Jul A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 05/05/05 Major-severe storm 01/01/01