:Product: 0704RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jul 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 185 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  03/2100Z
to 04/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1084 (S19W32) was
quiet and stable.  A new, emerging flux region was observed near
N19W38.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels for the next three days (05 - 07 July).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  Solar wind velocity was steady at
about 600 km/s through 04/0700Z when speeds gradually decayed to
near 500 km/s by the end of the summary period.  The greater than 2
MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during
the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (05 - 07 July).
III.  Event Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           04 Jul 072
Predicted   05 Jul-07 Jul  074/074/074
90 Day Mean        04 Jul 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 03 Jul  006/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Jul  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Jul-07 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Jul-07 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01