:Product: 0709RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jul 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 190 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  08/2100Z
to 09/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  New Region 1087 (N18E72) was
numbered today and produced three C-class events.  The largest of
these was a C3/Sf at 09/1951Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.  There is a chance for a C-class flare, and a slight
chance for a M-class event, from Region 1087.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (10-12
July).
III.  Event Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           09 Jul 080
Predicted   10 Jul-12 Jul  080/080/080
90 Day Mean        09 Jul 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jul  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 09 Jul  005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 10 Jul-12 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jul-12 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01