:Product: 0710RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jul 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 191 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  09/2100Z
to 10/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1087 (S19E57) is a
beta magnetic configuration and produced two B-class flares during
the period.  The region shows occasional point brightenings and is
growing in both white light areal coverage and sunspot count.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.  There is a chance for a C-class flare, and a slight
chance for a M-class event, from Region 1087.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 09/2100Z to 10/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 MeV electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels for days one and two (11-12 July). 
Quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active conditions, are
expected for day three (13 July) due to a recurrent coronal hole
high speed stream.
III.  Event Probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           10 Jul 080
Predicted   11 Jul-13 Jul  080/080/078
90 Day Mean        10 Jul 075
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jul  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 10 Jul  001/002
Predicted Afr/Ap 11 Jul-13 Jul  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jul-13 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/20
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01