:Product: 0717RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jul 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 198 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z:  Solar activity was low.  Region 1087 (N23W33) produced
a C2 x-ray flare at 17/1801Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for a C-class flare from Region 1087.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (18-20 July).
III.  Event Probabilities 18 Jul-20 Jul
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           17 Jul 079
Predicted   18 Jul-20 Jul  076/075/074
90 Day Mean        17 Jul 074
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Jul  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Jul  001/003
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Jul-20 Jul  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Jul-20 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01