:Product: 0719RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Jul 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 200 Issued at 2200Z on 19 Jul 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  18/2100Z
to 19/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  Region 1087 (N17W61)
produced a long duration B5 flare at 19/0752Z.  This region shows a
continued sign of decay.  New Region 1089 (S23E70) was numbered
today and emerged on the disk as a beta magnetic configuration.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for a C-class event.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 18/2100Z to 19/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominantly quiet for days one and two (20-21
July).  Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for day three (22
July) as a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream will be in a
geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 20 Jul-22 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           19 Jul 080
Predicted   20 Jul-22 Jul  082/082/082
90 Day Mean        19 Jul 074
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 18 Jul  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 19 Jul  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 20 Jul-22 Jul  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 20 Jul-22 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/15
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01