:Product: 0817RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Aug 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 229 Issued at 2200Z on 17 Aug 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  16/2100Z
to 17/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Region 1099 (N17W97) 
produced seven B-class flares during the period. No new regions were
numbered.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance for a C-class flare from Region 1098
(N14W55).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 16/2100Z to 17/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (18-20 August).
III.  Event Probabilities 18 Aug-20 Aug
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           17 Aug 081
Predicted   18 Aug-20 Aug  081/081/080
90 Day Mean        17 Aug 077
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 16 Aug  004/007
Estimated Afr/Ap 17 Aug  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 18 Aug-20 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 18 Aug-20 Aug
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01