:Product: 0922RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Sep 22 2214 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 265 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Sep 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was at very low levels.  There were
numerous B-class events, most of which were produced by Region 1109
(N22E67).  Region 1109 is a Dko group with a beta magnetic
configuration and has increased in size over the last 24 hours. 
Region 1108 (S30W09) is now an Hhx alpha group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels with a slight chance for M-class events for
the next three days (23-25 September).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels during the past 24
hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled to active on days one and two (23-24
September) due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Day
three (25 September) is expected to be mostly unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Sep-25 Sep
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Sep 085
Predicted   23 Sep-25 Sep  088/088/088
90 Day Mean        22 Sep 079
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Sep  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Sep  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep  015/018-015/018-012/012
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Sep-25 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                35/35/25
Minor storm           05/05/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                40/40/30
Minor storm           10/10/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01