:Product: 1202RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2010 Dec 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 336 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Dec 2010
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. 
New Region 1131 (N30E68) was numbered during the period and is an
Hsx-Alpha type spot group.  Region 1130 (N14W52) remained stable and
quiet throughout the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (03-05 December) with a chance for
isolated C-class flares from Region 1130.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for isolated active
periods during the next three days (03-05 December) due to possible
effects from a CME associated with the disappearing filament
observed on 29 November.  The CME observed near N15E40 on 30
November may also contribute to elevated activity throughout the
period.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Dec-05 Dec
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Dec 087
Predicted   03 Dec-05 Dec  090/090/090
90 Day Mean        02 Dec 082
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Dec  001/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Dec  003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Dec-05 Dec  010/010-008/008-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Dec-05 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/20/15
Minor storm           15/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/25/20
Minor storm           15/10/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01