:Product: 0102RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Jan 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 002 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jan 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity remained at very low levels. Region 1140
(N32E40) was the sole source of todays occasional B-class flares.
It remained an H-type group with no significant changes noted.
Region 1141 (N34W39) decayed to a B-type group. Region 1142 (S12E21)
showed a minor increase in area and remained a D-type group with a
beta magnetic configuration. No new regions were numbered.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low to low levels during the period (03 - 05 January) with a
chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet through the period (03 - 05 January).
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Jan-05 Jan
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Jan 091
Predicted   03 Jan-05 Jan  090/090/090
90 Day Mean        02 Jan 083
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jan  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jan  002/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jan-05 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jan-05 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01