:Product: 0122RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Jan 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 022 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Jan 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1149 (N17W19) has grown
in area and produced a C2 flare at 22/0828Z.  Region 1147 (N24W22)
was quiet and stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region 1149.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (23 - 25 January).
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Jan-25 Jan
Class M    10/10/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Jan 088
Predicted   23 Jan-25 Jan  088/088/088
90 Day Mean        22 Jan 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Jan  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Jan  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Jan-25 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Jan-25 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01