:Product: 0123RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Jan 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 023 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jan 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. Regions 1147 (N24W36) and
1149 (N17W32) were quiet and stable. SOHO C2 imagery observed a CME
liftoff at 23/0125Z off the northwest limb.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (24 - 26 January. The
CME mentioned in part 1A is not expected to be geoeffective.
III.  Event Probabilities 24 Jan-26 Jan
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           23 Jan 084
Predicted   24 Jan-26 Jan  088/088/088
90 Day Mean        23 Jan 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jan  003/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jan  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jan-26 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jan-26 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01