:Product: 0125RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Jan 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 025 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jan 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z:  Solar activity decreased to very low levels. A single
B1 flare was observed during the period from Region 1149 (N17W62).
Region 1149 showed a decrease in area and was classified as a
Dso-beta group. Region 1147 (N24W65) remained stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low, with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels, with isolated unsettled
periods at high latitudes.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet levels, with isolated unsettled periods at
high latitudes on day one (27 January). Quiet levels are expected on
days two and three (27-28 January).
III.  Event Probabilities 26 Jan-28 Jan
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           25 Jan 081
Predicted   26 Jan-28 Jan  080/079/078
90 Day Mean        25 Jan 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jan  002/003
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Jan  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Jan-28 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jan-28 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01