:Product: 0126RSGA.txt :Issued: 2011 Jan 26 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force. # Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity SDF Number 026 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Jan 2011 IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: Solar activity was at very low levels. Region 1149 (N17W77) produced occasional low-level B-class flares during the period. Region 1149 continues to show decay in spot number. Region 1147 (N24W77) remained stable. IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. There is a slight chance for a C-class flare. IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25/2100Z to 26/2100Z: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at mostly quiet for the next three days (27-29 January). III. Event Probabilities 27 Jan-29 Jan Class M 01/01/01 Class X 01/01/01 Proton 01/01/01 PCAF green IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux Observed 26 Jan 080 Predicted 27 Jan-29 Jan 079/078/076 90 Day Mean 26 Jan 084 V. Geomagnetic A Indices Observed Afr/Ap 25 Jan 003/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 26 Jan 002/003 Predicted Afr/Ap 27 Jan-29 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Jan-29 Jan A. Middle Latitudes Active 05/05/05 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01 B. High Latitudes Active 10/10/10 Minor storm 01/01/01 Major-severe storm 01/01/01