:Product: 0129RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Jan 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 029 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Jan 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Region 1150 (S22E50) has remained stable while producing
several B-class events. Region 1151 (N11W71) decayed to spotless
plage late in the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
very low levels with a slight chance for C-class events for the next
three days (30 January - 01 February).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at predominantly quiet levels for the
past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next two days
(30-31 January). Quiet to unsettled levels are expected late on day
three (01 February) as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream
moves into a geoeffective position.
III.  Event Probabilities 30 Jan-01 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           29 Jan 081
Predicted   30 Jan-01 Feb  080/080/078
90 Day Mean        29 Jan 084
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Jan  004/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Jan  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb  005/005-005/005-008/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Jan-01 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/10
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                10/10/15
Minor storm           01/01/10
Major-severe storm    01/01/01