:Product: 0630RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Jun 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 181 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jun 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  29/2100Z
to 30/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low.  No flares were observed
in the past 24 hours.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 29/2100Z to 30/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be initially quiet on day one (1 July), becoming
unsettled late in the day.  Days 2 and 3 (2 - 3 July) are expected
to remain unsettled.  The increase in activity is forecast due to a
favorably positioned coronal hole.
III.  Event Probabilities 01 Jul-03 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           30 Jun 089
Predicted   01 Jul-03 Jul  087/087/087
90 Day Mean        30 Jun 101
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jun  002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 30 Jun  003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Jul-03 Jul  007/008-010/010-010/012
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jul-03 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/35/35
Minor storm           01/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/40/40
Minor storm           05/10/10
Major-severe storm    01/05/05