:Product: 0701RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Jul 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 182 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  30/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  There were several
B-class flares observed in the past 24 hours from Region 1243
(N17E22) and new Region 1244 (N16W10).  Region 1244 emerged on the
disk and is a small B-type sunspot group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a chance for isolated C-class flares.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 30/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  ACE solar wind data
indicated velocities up to 450 km/s consistent with a high speed
stream from a favorably positioned coronal hole.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled on day 1 (2 July).  Days 2 and 3 (3
- 4 July) are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Jul 088
Predicted   02 Jul-04 Jul  088/088/088
90 Day Mean        01 Jul 101
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun  003/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jul  015/015
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul  010/015-007/010-007/010
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul-04 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                35/15/15
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                40/20/20
Minor storm           10/05/05
Major-severe storm    05/01/01