:Product: 0702RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Jul 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  01/2100Z
to 02/2100Z:  Solar activity has been very low.  There have been two
B-class flares observed in the past 24 hours.  Region 1243 (N16E08)
produced a B2 event at 01/2111Z, and Region 1242 (N18W57) produced a
B1 event at 1121Z.  Region 1243 showed growth in the leader spot,
but the trailer spots decayed.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 01/2100Z to 02/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.  ACE solar wind data indicated
speeds between 360 - 430 km/s, consistent with a weak high speed
stream from a favorably positioned coronal hole.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance for an isolated
active period on days 1 and 2 (3 - 4 July).  Day 3 (5 July) is
expected to be quiet.
III.  Event Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           02 Jul 086
Predicted   03 Jul-05 Jul  086/086/086
90 Day Mean        02 Jul 101
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul  007/013
Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul  005/007
Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul  007/010-007/010-005/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul-05 Jul
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                25/25/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                30/30/10
Minor storm           10/10/05
Major-severe storm    05/05/01