:Product: 0829RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Aug 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 241 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Aug 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Occasional C-class x-ray flares
occurred. The largest flare was a C3 at 29/0721Z from an area just
beyond the northeast limb. Visible disk regions were either stable
or declining. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the
period. No new regions were numbered.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low during the period (30 August - 01 September) with a chance for
more C-class activity from the area just beyond the northeast limb.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at mostly quiet levels through the period (30 August
- 01 September).
III.  Event Probabilities 30 Aug-01 Sep
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           29 Aug 101
Predicted   30 Aug-01 Sep  098/095/095
90 Day Mean        29 Aug 097
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Aug  004/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Aug  008/008
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Aug-01 Sep  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Aug-01 Sep
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/02
B.  High Latitudes
Active                20/15/15
Minor storm           05/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01