:Product: 1122RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Nov 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 326 Issued at 2200Z on 22 Nov 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  21/2100Z
to 22/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Regions 1354 (S17E05) and 1356
(N15E42) each produced low-level C-class events. The largest event
was a C4 at 22/0404Z from Region 1356 which is classified as an
Fki-type group with a beat-gamma magnetic configuration. New Region
1358 (N20E80) was numbered today and is an Hsx-alpha type spot
group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next three days (23-25 November) with a chance for M-class
activity from Region 1356.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 21/2100Z to 22/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (23-25
November).
III.  Event Probabilities 23 Nov-25 Nov
Class M    30/30/30
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           22 Nov 142
Predicted   23 Nov-25 Nov  140/145/145
90 Day Mean        22 Nov 139
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 21 Nov  005/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 22 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov  005/005-004/005-004/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 Nov-25 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    00/00/00
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           13/13/13
Major-severe storm    07/07/07