:Product: 1124RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Nov 24 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 328 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Nov 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  23/2100Z
to 24/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest event of the period was a C1 flare from Region
1356 (N15E16). A new sunspot group was numbered early in the period
in the northwest quadrant, Region 1359 (N16W52). A CME was observed
off the west limb in LASCO C2 imagery at 24/0125Z, but after careful
analysis, there appears to be no Earth directed components.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for M-class activity for the next
three days (25-27 November).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 23/2100Z to 24/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet levels with an
isolated period at minor storm levels observed at high latitudes.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly quiet levels for the next three days
(25-27 November).
III.  Event Probabilities 25 Nov-27 Nov
Class M    15/15/10
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           24 Nov 137
Predicted   25 Nov-27 Nov  135/130/130
90 Day Mean        24 Nov 140
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Nov  004/005
Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Nov  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Nov-27 Nov  005/005-005/007-006/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Nov-27 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/04/07
Minor storm           01/00/01
Major-severe storm    00/00/00
B.  High Latitudes
Active                16/15/17
Minor storm           17/14/20
Major-severe storm    07/05/10