:Product: 1206RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Dec 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 340 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Dec 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  05/2100Z
to 06/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1363 (S22W20) produced
the sole C-class event, a C6 x-ray flare at 05/2325Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next 3 days (7-9 December).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 05/2100Z to 06/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (7-9 December).
III.  Event Probabilities 07 Dec-09 Dec
Class M    20/20/20
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           06 Dec 151
Predicted   07 Dec-09 Dec  150/150/160
90 Day Mean        06 Dec 145
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 05 Dec  004/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 06 Dec  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 07 Dec-09 Dec  006/005-006/005-006/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Dec-09 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           04/04/04
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                14/14/14
Minor storm           17/17/17
Major-severe storm    15/15/15