:Product: 1207RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2011 Dec 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 341 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Dec 2011
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1364 (N18W30) produced a
pair of C1 x-ray flares at 07/0605Z and 07/1539Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (8-10 December).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (8-10 December).
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Dec-10 Dec
Class M    20/20/20
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Dec 149
Predicted   08 Dec-10 Dec  150/155/155
90 Day Mean        07 Dec 145
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Dec  000/001
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Dec  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Dec-10 Dec  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Dec-10 Dec
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/10/10
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01