:Product: 0107RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Jan 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 007 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jan 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  06/2100Z
to 07/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest event of the period was a C2/Sf at 07/0007Z from
Region 1392 (S24W73). Region 1392 and 1393 (N16W30) both showed
growth in areal coverage and magnetic complexity. A CME was observed
in LASCO C2 imagery around 06/2125Z. After analysis,
this CME appears to a farsided event, thus not Earth directed.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels for the next three days (08-10 January).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 06/2100Z to 07/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field has been at mostly quiet levels for the past 24
hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at predominantly quiet levels for the next three
days (08-10 January).
III.  Event Probabilities 08 Jan-10 Jan
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           07 Jan 141
Predicted   08 Jan-10 Jan  135/135/135
90 Day Mean        07 Jan 145
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jan  006/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 07 Jan  004/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan  005/005-005/005-004/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jan-10 Jan
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           05/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01