:Product: 0201RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Feb 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 032 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Feb 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  31/2100Z
to 01/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. Region 1410 (N07W79) produced a
C1 x-ray flare at 01/0441Z.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (02-04 February).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 31/2100Z to 01/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day 1 (02 February). Activity will increase
to quiet to unsettled on days 2-3 (03-04 February) as the result of
anticipated CH HSS effects.
III.  Event Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           01 Feb 118
Predicted   02 Feb-04 Feb  120/120/120
90 Day Mean        01 Feb 142
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 31 Jan  002/004
Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Feb  000/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb  005/005-008/008-007/008
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Feb-04 Feb
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                10/15/15
Minor storm           01/05/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/20/20
Minor storm           01/01/05
Major-severe storm    01/01/01