:Product: 0329RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Mar 29 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 089 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Mar 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  28/2100Z
to 29/2100Z:  Solar activity has been at low levels.  There were six
C-class flares over the past 24 hours with five of these originating
from old Region 1429 (N19, L=299) which is just beginning to rotate
into view as of forecast issue time.  The largest flare was a C7
that occurred at 29/0953Z and originated from old Region 1429.  New
Region 1449 (S18W17) was numbered today and is a D-class spot group.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an isolated M-class flare.  Old Region 1429 will
rotate onto the visible disk, increasing the probabilities for
M-class flares.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 28/2100Z to 29/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet for the next three days (30 March - 1 April)
III.  Event Probabilities 30 Mar-01 Apr
Class M    35/35/35
Class X    05/05/05
Proton     05/05/05
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           29 Mar 112
Predicted   30 Mar-01 Apr  120/130/135
90 Day Mean        29 Mar 119
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Mar  010/015
Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Mar  003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr  006/005-006/005-006/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Mar-01 Apr
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/05/05