:Product: 0623RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Jun 23 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jun 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z:  Solar activity was low. A long-duration C2 X-ray flare
occurred at 0750Z originating from past the west limb. A CME was
associated with the flare but is not expected to be geoeffective.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was at mostly quiet levels. The greater
than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
during the period.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be mostly quiet during the period (24 -26 June).
III.  Event Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       Green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           23 Jun 084
Predicted   24 Jun-26 Jun  085/085/090
90 Day Mean        23 Jun 119
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jun  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jun  005/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun  006/005-005/005-006/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jun-26 Jun
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           10/10/10
Major-severe storm    05/05/05