:Product: 1003RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Oct 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 277 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Oct 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. No significant activity
occurred during the period.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (4-6 October).
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field began the current UTC day with an isolated
unsettled period due to an extended interval of negative Bz.
Otherwise, the field was quiet.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next 3 days (4-6 October).
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Oct-06 Oct
Class M    05/05/05
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Oct 113
Predicted   04 Oct-06 Oct  110/110/110
90 Day Mean        03 Oct 123
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Oct  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Oct  005/006
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Oct-06 Oct  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Oct-06 Oct
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/05/05
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           15/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/05/05