:Product: 1103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 2012 Nov 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 03 Nov 2012
IA.  Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from  02/2100Z
to 03/2100Z:  Solar activity was very low. The activity for the past
24 hours consisted of a few, low-level B-class flares. New Region
1604 (N08E48) was assigned and is a small bipolar region. All other
regions on the disk were quiet and stable.
IB.  Solar Activity Forecast:  Solar activity is expected to be very
low for the next three days (04-06 Nov) with a slight chance for a
an isolated C-class flare.
IIA.  Geophysical Activity Summary 02/2100Z to 03/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours. The ACE
spacecraft observed a solar sector boundary crossing at 1153Z.
IIB.  Geophysical Activity Forecast:  The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (04-06 Nov).
III.  Event Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
Class M    01/01/01
Class X    01/01/01
Proton     01/01/01
PCAF       green
IV.  Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed           03 Nov 093
Predicted   04 Nov-06 Nov  095/095/100
90 Day Mean        03 Nov 119
V.  Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 02 Nov  005/006
Estimated Afr/Ap 03 Nov  003/004
Predicted Afr/Ap 04 Nov-06 Nov  006/005-007/007-007/007
VI.  Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 Nov-06 Nov
A.  Middle Latitudes
Active                05/10/10
Minor storm           01/01/01
Major-severe storm    01/01/01
B.  High Latitudes
Active                15/15/15
Minor storm           10/15/15
Major-severe storm    05/10/10